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Season Intelligence Report

Sun Valley

ID · 9,150 ft summit · SUN

A

NWS Grade

2025–26 Season Snapshot

Storms This Season

39

storms tracked

Season Snowfall

46"

calibrated total

Best Storm

25/100

Tracked

Current Snowpack

26"

489:ID:SNTL

Avg Daily Rate

1.2"/day

storms with data

Season SWE

9.0"

snow water equivalent

NWS Forecast Accuracy

A

Good news — NWS underestimates snowfall here by -95%

Sun Valley typically receives 15.0× the NWS forecast amount. When NWS says 6 inches, you should expect closer to 90 inches. StormDrop calibrated estimates account for this.

With only 2 storms, patterns are tentative. Both events show extreme underprediction (95% error). Low snow levels and subfreezing temperatures characterize the largest error case. The 10× variance in actual/forecast ratio between storms suggests temperature and/or snow level are key moderators. Recommend collecting 5–10 additional storms for robust rule calibration.

Based on 2 verified storms · SNOTEL ground truth (489:ID:SNTL)

Storm History — 2025–26 Season

Level 1 · Tracked

Apr 17 – Apr 17

7
score

NWS Forecast

0.2"

Calibrated

0.4"

Actual (SNOTEL)

Pending

Density: Average

Rate: 0.4"/day

Full storm detail →
Level 1 · Tracked

Apr 16 – Apr 17

24
score

NWS Forecast

1.1"

Calibrated

2.2"

Actual (SNOTEL)

Pending

Density: Ultra-Light

Rate: 2.2"/day

Full storm detail →
Level 1 · Tracked

Apr 15 – Apr 15

7
score

NWS Forecast

0.2"

Calibrated

0.4"

Actual (SNOTEL)

Pending

Density: Dense

Rate: 0.4"/day

Full storm detail →
Show 36 more storms

Apr 13 – Apr 13

Level 1 · 0" calibrated

7/100

Apr 13 – Apr 13

Level 1 · 0" calibrated

7/100

Apr 13 – Apr 13

Level 1 · 1" calibrated

10/100

Apr 13 – Apr 13

Level 1 · 1" calibrated

10/100

Apr 13 – Apr 13

Level 1 · 1" calibrated

10/100

Apr 13 – Apr 13

Level 1 · 1" calibrated

10/100

Apr 13 – Apr 13

Level 1 · 1" calibrated

10/100

Apr 13 – Apr 13

Level 1 · 1" calibrated

10/100

Apr 13 – Apr 13

Level 1 · 1" calibrated

10/100

Apr 13 – Apr 13

Level 1 · 1" calibrated

10/100

Apr 13 – Apr 13

Level 1 · 1" calibrated

10/100

Apr 3 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 0" calibrated

12/100

Apr 3 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 0" calibrated

12/100

Apr 3 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 0" calibrated

12/100

Apr 3 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 0" calibrated

12/100

Apr 2 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 1" calibrated

12/100

Apr 2 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 1" calibrated

12/100

Apr 2 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 1" calibrated

10/100

Apr 2 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 1" calibrated

10/100

Apr 2 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 1" calibrated

10/100

Apr 2 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 2" calibrated

10/100

Apr 2 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 2" calibrated

10/100

Apr 2 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 2" calibrated

10/100

Apr 2 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 2" calibrated

10/100

Apr 2 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 2" calibrated

10/100

Apr 2 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 2" calibrated

10/100

Apr 2 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 2" calibrated

20/100

Apr 2 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 2" calibrated

22/100

Apr 2 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 3" calibrated

24/100

Apr 2 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 3" calibrated

23/100

Apr 2 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 3" calibrated

25/100

Apr 2 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 3" calibrated

21/100

Apr 2 – Apr 3

Level 1 · 3" calibrated

23/100

Mar 31 – Mar 31

Level 1 · 0" calibrated

7/100

Mar 12 – Mar 12

Level 1 · 0" calibrated

7/100

Mar 11 – Mar 12

Level 1 · 0" calibrated

4/100

Local Knowledge

TGR Community Intel

Full local intelligence for Sun Valley

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Based on 6 community reports · 2019-01-07 → 2025-05-30

Road & Access

No live DOT road data available for Sun Valley.

Historical Patterns

Temperature effect: Colder storms (avg 25.9°F) show larger underprediction ratios (20×) than warmer storms (avg 30.9°F, 10× ratio). Suggests NWS may underestimate precipitation efficiency at near-freezing temperatures or mishandle cold-cloud dynamics.

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