Bridger Bowl
MT · 8,800 ft summit · BZN
NWS Grade
2025–26 Season Snapshot
Storms This Season
250
storms tracked
Season Snowfall
692"
calibrated total
Best Storm
64/100
Major
Current Snowpack
0"
365:MT:SNTL
Avg Daily Rate
2.1"/day
storms with data
Season SWE
0.0"
snow water equivalent
NWS Forecast Accuracy
NWS overpredicts by 94.29% at Bridger Bowl
Our calibrated estimates are based on 11 verified storms. When NWS says 12 inches, reality is closer to 12 inches. Don't book flights based on NWS numbers alone.
Bridger Bowl SNOTEL data (2026-03-10 to 2026-03-16) shows NWS forecasts are systematically 5–7× too high. The 43" stable baseline depth and minimal SWE accumulation despite large snowfall forecasts suggest: (1) forecasts are for lower elevations and do not adjust for Bridger's high-exposure terrain, (2) wind scour and settlement are not modeled, (3) timing misses (snow falls but not captured in daily SNOTEL window). Storms 7–11 have no verification data (sensor outage or data gap), limiting analysis. Conservative correction factor of 0.14–0.2× recommended for future Bridger Bowl forecasts under similar conditions.
Based on 11 verified storms · SNOTEL ground truth (365:MT:SNTL)
Storm History — 2025–26 Season
May 21 – May 21
NWS Forecast
0.4"
Calibrated
0.4"
Actual (SNOTEL)
Pending
Density: Dense
Rate: 0.4"/day
May 18 – May 18
NWS Forecast
0.7"
Calibrated
0.7"
Actual (SNOTEL)
0.0"
Density: Light
Rate: 0.7"/day
NWS accuracy: 0%
May 17 – May 17
NWS Forecast
0.1"
Calibrated
0.1"
Actual (SNOTEL)
Pending
Density: Dense
Rate: 0.1"/day
Show 247 more storms
May 17 – May 17
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 17 – May 17
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 17 – May 17
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 17 – May 17
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 17 – May 17
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 17 – May 17
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 17 – May 17
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 17 – May 17
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 17 – May 17
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 17 – May 18
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
May 17 – May 18
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
May 17 – May 18
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
May 17 – May 18
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
May 17 – May 18
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
May 17 – May 18
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
May 17 – May 18
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
May 17 – May 18
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
May 6 – May 6
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 5 – May 6
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 5 – May 6
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 5 – May 6
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 5 – May 5
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 5 – May 6
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 5 – May 6
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 30 – Apr 30
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 27
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 25 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 25 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 25 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 25 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 24 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 5" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 5" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 5" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 6" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 5" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 5" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 5" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 5" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 6" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 6" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 7" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 8" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 9" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 2 · 10" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 2 · 10" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 2 · 11" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 2 · 11" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 2 · 11" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 2 · 11" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 2 · 12" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 2 · 12" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 25
Level 2 · 12" calibrated
Apr 18 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 18 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 18 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 18 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 18 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 18 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 18 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 5" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 5" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 5" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 5" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 6" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 6" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 7" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 7" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 7" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 7" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 7" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 7" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 7" calibrated
Apr 16 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 7" calibrated
Apr 13 – Apr 13
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 13 – Apr 13
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 8 – Apr 8
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 5" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 7" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 9" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 3 · 9" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 3 · 10" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 3 · 10" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 3 · 10" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 3 · 10" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 8" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 8" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 8" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Mar 31 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 31
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 22 – Mar 22
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Mar 15 – Mar 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 15 – Mar 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 15 – Mar 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 13 – Mar 14
Level 1 · 7" calibrated
Mar 12 – Mar 13
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 10 – Mar 11
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Road & Access
No live DOT road data available for Bridger Bowl.
Historical Patterns
Temperature effect: Colder average temperatures (avg < 20°F, e.g. Storm 1, 4–6) do not prevent forecast failure; even cold storms verify 0–20% of forecast. Warmer storms (avg 26–32°F) also fail completely, suggesting temperature is not the primary driver. SWE density ratios are extremely high (3.3–5.0:1) indicating very light snow, but this is not reflected in NWS density classes.
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