Whitefish Mountain Resort
MT · 7,000 ft summit · FCA
NWS Grade
2025–26 Season Snapshot
Storms This Season
102
storms tracked
Season Snowfall
153"
calibrated total
Best Storm
43/100
Major
Current Snowpack
98"
Noisy Basin + Mule Creek
Avg Daily Rate
1.2"/day
storms with data
Season SWE
40.6"
snow water equivalent
NWS Forecast Accuracy
NWS overpredicts by 45.5% at Whitefish Mountain Resort
Our calibrated estimates are based on 13 verified storms. When NWS says 12 inches, reality is closer to 7 inches. Don't book flights based on NWS numbers alone.
Dataset heavily compromised: 11 of 13 storms (85%) have no verification data (station 664:MT:SNTL on 2026-03-16 failed to report post-storm measurements). Only Storms 1–2 are verifiable. NWS overpredicts by ~45% on average. Adjustment factor of 0.55 recommended for operational forecasts, but confidence is low due to minimal sample size. Multi-year reanalysis required.
Based on 13 verified storms · SNOTEL ground truth (Noisy Basin + Mule Creek)
Storm History — 2025–26 Season
Apr 17 – Apr 17
NWS Forecast
0.3"
Calibrated
0.2"
Actual (SNOTEL)
Pending
Density: Average
Rate: 0.2"/day
Apr 15 – Apr 17
NWS Forecast
2.9"
Calibrated
1.6"
Actual (SNOTEL)
Pending
Density: Light
Rate: 1.1"/day
Apr 15 – Apr 17
NWS Forecast
3.0"
Calibrated
1.6"
Actual (SNOTEL)
Pending
Density: Light
Rate: 1.1"/day
Show 99 more storms
Apr 15 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 17
Level 2 · 5" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 17
Level 2 · 5" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 5" calibrated
Apr 7 – Apr 7
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 3" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 3" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 3 · 5" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 3 · 5" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 3 · 5" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 3 · 5" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 3 · 5" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 3 · 5" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 25
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 24
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 24
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 24
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 24
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 24
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 24
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 24
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 24
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 24
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 11 – Mar 14
Level 2 · 8" calibrated
Mar 10 – Mar 13
Level 2 · 12" calibrated
Road & Access
No live DOT road data available for Whitefish Mountain Resort.
Historical Patterns
Temperature effect: Limited data; Storm 2 (avg 21°F, light density) had 58% accuracy vs. Storm 1 (avg 20.7°F, average density) at 51% accuracy. Marginal evidence that slightly warmer temps with lighter snow may reduce overprediction bias, but sample too small to confirm.
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