Lake Tahoe
Data-driven analysis of 5 resorts — NWS forecast accuracy, storm rankings, and local knowledge, powered by SNOTEL ground truth.
The Headlines
Kirkwood averaged 8.3"/storm-day — the region's top producer with 500" on the season.
The region's biggest drop: 33" at Palisades Tahoe on Jan 15, 2026.
NWS overpredicted snowfall at Sugar Bowl by 30% this season. Grade: A.
Resort Rankings
Sorted by calibrated season snowfall total. NWS grade reflects forecast accuracy.
| # | Resort | Season Total | Avg/Storm-Day | Best Storm | NWS Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KirkwoodCA | 500" | 8.3"/day | 33" | A |
| 2 | Sugar BowlCA | 500" | 8.3"/day | 33" | A |
| 3 | Palisades TahoeCA | 450" | 7.5"/day | 33" | A |
| 4 | HeavenlyCA/NV | 360" | 6"/day | 33" | A |
| 5 | NorthstarCA | 350" | 5.8"/day | 33" | A |
NWS Forecast Accuracy
How much did the National Weather Service overpredict snowfall vs. SNOTEL ground-truth measurements? Lower is better. This is the core StormDrop data advantage.
Storm Timeline
Monthly snowfall across the region — feast months vs. famine months.
What Locals Are Saying
Top community intel from TGR forum data. The best powder intel isn't in the forecast.
“Montezuma (back side): Historically difficult to find good powder days; lower priority than front-side terrain”
“Sentinel Ridge/Outer Sentinel: Excellent powder terrain; follow patroller lines for optimal runs”
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Explore This Region
Tailored guide for Bay Area Skiers →Don't Get Skunked Next Season
This season proved you can't trust the forecast alone. NWS overpredicted by up to 30% at Sugar Bowl. StormDrop tells you what will actually fall — and where to go when your home mountain isn't delivering.