Breckenridge
CO · 12,998 ft summit · DEN
NWS Grade
2025–26 Season Snapshot
Storms This Season
223
storms tracked
Season Snowfall
371"
calibrated total
Best Storm
56/100
Major
Current Snowpack
0"
Hoosier Pass + Summit Ranch (existing)
Avg Daily Rate
1.3"/day
storms with data
Season SWE
0.0"
snow water equivalent
NWS Forecast Accuracy
NWS overpredicts by 39.7% at Breckenridge
Our calibrated estimates are based on 5 verified storms. When NWS says 12 inches, reality is closer to 10 inches. Don't book flights based on NWS numbers alone.
Sample size is small (n=4 verified storms). Two storms on same date (2026-03-15) suggest multiple model runs or updrafts; treating as independent but note possible clustering bias. Storm 1 null case (0.0" vs 0.1" forecast) and Storm 5 missing verification limit robust pattern detection. NWS systematic overprediction by ~2.4× in small events and ~1.7× in moderate events suggests model resolution or microphysics parameterization issues for Breckenridge microclimates. Wind speeds (16–28 mph) do not correlate clearly with error magnitude across sample.
Based on 5 verified storms · SNOTEL ground truth (Hoosier Pass + Summit Ranch (existing))
Storm History — 2025–26 Season
May 22 – May 22
NWS Forecast
0.1"
Calibrated
0.1"
Actual (SNOTEL)
Pending
Density: Average
Rate: 0.1"/day
May 20 – May 20
NWS Forecast
0.1"
Calibrated
0.1"
Actual (SNOTEL)
Pending
Density: Dense
Rate: 0.1"/day
May 20 – May 20
NWS Forecast
0.3"
Calibrated
0.3"
Actual (SNOTEL)
Pending
Density: Dense
Rate: 0.3"/day
Show 220 more storms
May 20 – May 20
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 19 – May 19
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 18 – May 19
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 18 – May 19
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 18 – May 18
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 18 – May 19
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
May 6 – May 6
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 6 – May 6
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 6 – May 6
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 2 · 5" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 2 · 5" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 3 · 6" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 3 · 6" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
May 6 – May 7
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
May 5 – May 7
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
May 5 – May 7
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
May 5 – May 7
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
May 5 – May 7
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
May 5 – May 7
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
May 5 – May 7
Level 2 · 7" calibrated
May 5 – May 7
Level 2 · 7" calibrated
May 5 – May 7
Level 2 · 7" calibrated
May 5 – May 7
Level 1 · 7" calibrated
May 5 – May 7
Level 1 · 7" calibrated
May 5 – May 6
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
May 4 – May 4
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
May 1 – May 1
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 1
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 30 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 29 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 29 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 29 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 29 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 29 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 29 – May 2
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 28 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 28 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 28 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 28 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 28 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 28 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 28 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 28 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 28 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 28 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 28 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 28 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 28 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 28 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 28 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 28 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 28 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 28 – Apr 28
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 27
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 27
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 27
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 27
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 27
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 29
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 29
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 29
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 29
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 29
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 29
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 29
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 27 – Apr 29
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 26 – Apr 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 25 – Apr 25
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 23 – Apr 23
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 17
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 17 – Apr 18
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 14
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 1
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 31 – Mar 31
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 15 – Mar 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 15 – Mar 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 15 – Mar 15
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 11 – Mar 11
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Local Knowledge
TGR Community IntelStorm Day Strategy
Monday following weekend events provides optimal storm day skiing. Post-storm powder deepest mid-to-upper elevations. Early AM arrival (8:30-9:00 AM) critical. Avoid noon crowds. T-Bar lines manageable until early afternoon. Imperial provides uncrowded alternative. Upper mountain elevations retain powder best; lower mountain sparse due to wind exposure and elevation. Storm cycles build up deep snowpack especially on high alpine - wait for stable conditions before accessing Peak 7. Wind events can delay upper terrain opening - have backup plan for Imperial/mid-mountain terrain. Afternoon hours (post-noon) best for skiing deep snow with minimal crowds.
Terrain Opening Patterns
T-Bar
Opens: Rope drop, sometimes delayed until 11am
Consistent powder refills from wind into Horseshoe Bowl. Opens early on light traffic days (e.g., after ULLR Fest).
Imperial Chair
Opens: Mid-morning or later, frequently doesn't open
Unreliable opening, windy conditions make it not worth it on many days
Powder Stashes
Horseshoe Bowl
Accessible via T-Bar
Consistent powder source from wind deposits
Cucumber Bowl
Upper mountain terrain
Underutilized by most skiers. Had fresh lines most of day even when crowded. Consistently good in storms.
Full local intelligence for Breckenridge
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Based on 611 community reports · 2018-01-11 → 2026-03-02
Road & Access
I-70 Corridor (Eisenhower Tunnel to Vail)
OpenHistorical Patterns
Temperature effect: Colder storms (avg 2.5–7.5°F) produce extremely light, dry snow (10:1 density) but NWS depth forecasts do not account for this adequately, leading to consistent overprediction of measurable snow depth.
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