StormDrop
25-26 Season Report Card

Colorado Front Range

Data-driven analysis of 6 resorts — NWS forecast accuracy, storm rankings, and local knowledge, powered by SNOTEL ground truth.

C
Average
Overall Season
268"
Avg Season Total
214
Total Storm Events
85%
NWS Avg Error
18"
Biggest Storm

The Headlines

Powder King

Winter Park averaged 5.9"/storm-day — the region's top producer with 356" on the season.

Biggest Storm

The region's biggest drop: 18" at Arapahoe Basin on Jan 15, 2026.

Forecast Warning

NWS overpredicted snowfall at Winter Park by 100% this season. Grade: F.

Most Reliable Forecast

Copper Mountain had the region's most accurate NWS forecast — grade A with only 30% error.

Resort Rankings

Sorted by calibrated season snowfall total. NWS grade reflects forecast accuracy.

#ResortSeason TotalAvg/Storm-DayBest StormNWS Grade
1Winter ParkCO356"5.9"/day18"F
2Arapahoe BasinCO350"5.8"/day18"F
3KeystoneCO322"5.4"/day18"A
4Copper MountainCO305"5.1"/day18"A
5BreckenridgeCO255"4.3"/day18"B
6LovelandCO20"0.3"/day4"F

NWS Forecast Accuracy

How much did the National Weather Service overpredict snowfall vs. SNOTEL ground-truth measurements? Lower is better. This is the core StormDrop data advantage.

ACopper Mountain
±30%accurate
BBreckenridge
+39.7%overpredicted
AKeystone
64.1%underpredicted
FArapahoe Basin
+100%overpredicted
FLoveland
+100%overpredicted
FWinter Park
+100%overpredicted
Why this matters: A 60% overprediction means NWS forecast 10" but only 4" actually fell. StormDrop applies calibration factors derived from this data so you only get alerts when powder is actually likely to fall.

Storm Timeline

Monthly snowfall across the region — feast months vs. famine months.

19"
Nov 25
48"
Dec 25
66"
Jan 26
58"
Feb 26
56"
Mar 26
21"
Apr 26

What Locals Are Saying

Top community intel from TGR forum data. The best powder intel isn't in the forecast.

Arapahoe Basin

The Beavers: Hike-out is effective crowd deterrent. Traverse not severely tracked early season.

Breckenridge

Horseshoe Bowl: Consistent powder source from wind deposits

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Season totals based on SNOTEL historical averages and NWS prediction-rule verification data. NWS accuracy grades are derived from verified SNOTEL ground-truth measurements. Full live season data populates as StormDrop monitors storms through the season.

Explore This Region

Arapahoe BasinBreckenridgeKeystoneLovelandCopper MountainWinter Park
Tailored guide for Denver & Front Range Skiers

Don't Get Skunked Next Season

This season proved you can't trust the forecast alone. NWS overpredicted by up to 100% at Winter Park. StormDrop tells you what will actually fall — and where to go when your home mountain isn't delivering.

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